Update: Long-Range Weather Forecast
On July 13, 2009, the Shalampax weather office issued a three-month, long-range weather forecast. In an effort to justify it’s existence and the rapacious salaries, fees and perks that are paid to its employees, consultants and board of directors, the weather office has just released a statement that reports on the accuracy of its prediction for the first month covered by that forecast. The statement also updates the forecast for the final two months in the period.
In the original long-range weather forecast, the Shalampax weather office predicted that we would see three months of “conditions [that] will vary from bad to worse, with intermittent horrendousness.”
The weather office reports that it’s forecast was absolutely bang-on for the first month of the forecast.
However, the weather office has revised its forecast for the final two months of its current long-range period from “conditions will vary from bad to worse, with intermittent horrendousness” to “conditions will vary from dreadful to abominable, with intermittent ghastliness.”
Oh, the weather office also says there is a 60 percent probability that Christianity’s Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse will pass through Shalampax some time in the next two months. However, since there are no Christians in Shalampax, nobody knows what they hell the weather office means by that. I assume it’s not good.
I’d like to propose the creation of a bureau to forecast the accuracy of all forecasts. It is a needed government check and balance. For example, if the forecast’s forecast is -50%, I know that there is actually a 30% chance that the horsemen will NOT come through, as opposed to 60% that they will. It makes sense to me at least.
@Steve: An excellent idea. However, it sounds too complicated and too much work for us Shalampaxians. We tend to view forecasts as a form of entertainment and take things as they come.
You are very fortunate to have such accuracy with the weather forecasts. Where I live they are pretty good at telling us what is happening right now; beyond that, all bets are off since they are right about 30% of the time for any future day, you know, like tomorrow.
@David: Making accurate predictions is easy when everyday is like every other day: awful.
Love your site! Funny…On Pronghornia we just say..it might rain,be sunny, snow, you might see a tornado, hurricane, thunderstorm lighting..etc..
@megamanthemadman:Glad you like it. Thanks!
With the exception of the sun and snow, it sounds like the climate on Pronghornia is very similar to the climate in Shalampax.